Lenders · distress

Refinancing radar

184 of 652 catalog assets carry recorded outstanding debt; only those can be scored — 115 of 204 recorded tranches are honestly undated and excluded from the maturity window.

Screening signals from recorded debt terms and modeled metrics — not a distress determination. No asset here is asserted to be distressed or in default. Assets with no recorded debt are excluded, not scored as safe — absence of financing records is not absence of risk.

Scoreable assets

184

Flagged

128

Maturing ≤ 2029

Past stated maturity

Servicer tape

Servicer tape = assets with a matched SEC ABS-EE (CMBS) filing — the only sourced operating figures on this page.

Maturity wall — by asset

14past

6’26

14’27

16’28

14’29

13’30

15’31

3’32

1’34

2’35

1’51

Nearest recorded maturity per scoreable asset — 115 undated tranches excluded, not assumed.

		Signals
919THIRD919 Third AvenueNew York · Office	75High	Matures 2026· sourcedModeled DSCR 0.82×· modeledRecorded LTV 100%· modeled	2026recorded	0.82×modeled	100%modeled	$500M1 tranche cited
INDEXTOWIndex Tower DIFCDubai International Financial Centre · Office	60High	Past stated maturity 2022· sourcedModeled DSCR 1.19×· modeledRecorded LTV 105%· modeled	2022maturity passed	1.19×modeled	105%modeled	$400M1 tranche cited
30ROCKEF30 Rockefeller PlazaMidtown Manhattan · Office	55High	Matures 2029· sourcedModeled DSCR 0.50×· modeledRecorded LTV 146%· modeled	2029recorded	0.50×modeled	146%modeled	$3.50B1 tranche cited
4TIMESSQ4 Times Square (Condé Nast Legacy)Midtown West / Times Square · Office	55High	Matures 2030· sourcedModeled DSCR ≤ 0.72×· modeledRecorded LTV 200%· modeled	2030recorded	≤ 0.72×modeled	200%modeled	$2.20B2 tranches cited
110NORTH110 North Wacker Drive (Bank of America Tower)Chicago Loop · Office	55High	Matures 2030· sourcedModeled DSCR 0.73×· modeledRecorded LTV 122%· modeled	2030recorded	0.73×modeled	122%modeled	$700M1 tranche cited
SALESFO2Salesforce Tower Chicago (Wolf Point South)Chicago · Office	55High	Matures 2030· sourcedModeled DSCR 0.94×· modeledRecorded LTV 82%· modeled	2030recorded	0.94×modeled	82%modeled	$610M1 tranche cited
ONEMADISOne Madison AvenueFlatiron / NoMad / Madison Square · Office	55High	Matures 2031· sourcedModeled DSCR 0.91×· modeledRecorded LTV 83%· modeled	2031recorded	0.91×modeled	83%modeled	$1.65B1 tranche cited
280PARKA280 Park AvenueNew York · Office	50High	Matures 2026· sourcedRecorded LTV 108%· modeled	2026recorded	—	108%modeled	$1.07B1 tranche cited
ONENEWYOOne New York PlazaDowntown Manhattan · Office	50High	Matures 2026· sourcedRecorded LTV 93%· modeled	2026recorded	—	93%modeled	$835M1 tranche cited
ALLENCENAllen CenterHouston · Office	50High	Matures 2026· sourcedRecorded LTV 94%· modeled	2026recorded	—	94%modeled	$470M1 tranche cited
245PARKA245 Park AvenueNew York · Office	50High	Matures 2027· sourcedRecorded LTV 88%· modeledPrior special servicing· sourced	2027recorded	1.32×modeled	88%modeled	$1.77B1 tranche cited
GREENACRGreen Acres MallValley Stream, New York · Retail	47Elevated	Matures 2028· sourcedModeled DSCR 1.10×· modeledRecorded LTV 74%· modeled	2028recorded	1.10×modeled	74%modeled	$370M1 tranche cited
STARRETTStarrett-Lehigh BuildingChelsea / Meatpacking / Hudson Sq. · Office	45Elevated	Past stated maturity 2023· sourcedRecorded LTV 100%· modeled	2023maturity passed	—	100%modeled	$900M1 tranche cited
AMAZONPHAmazon Phase VII (400 Ninth Avenue North)Seattle, USA · Office	45Elevated	Past stated maturity 2024· sourcedRecorded LTV 90%· modeled	2024maturity passed	—	90%modeled	$220M1 tranche cited
825THIRD825 Third AvenueNew York · Office	45Elevated	Past stated maturity 2025· sourcedRecorded LTV 280%· modeled	2025maturity passed	—	280%modeled	$700M2 tranches cited
GRANDCANGrand Canal Shoppes (incl. Shoppes at the Palazzo)Las Vegas · Retail	45Elevated	Matures 2029· sourcedModeled DSCR 1.01×· modeledRecorded LTV 127%· modeled	2029recorded	1.01×modeled	127%modeled	$975M1 tranche cited
METLIFEBMetLife Building (200 Park)Midtown Manhattan · Office	45Elevated	Modeled DSCR 0.79×· modeledRecorded LTV 106%· modeled	2035recorded	0.79×modeled	106%modeled	$1.50B1 tranche cited
GENERALMGeneral Motors Building (767 Fifth)Plaza District · Office	40Elevated	Matures 2027· sourcedRecorded LTV 82%· modeled	2027recorded	1.49×modeled	82%modeled	$2.30B1 tranche cited
DEUTSCHEDeutsche Bank Center (office condominium, formerly Time Warner Center, One Columbus Circle)New York · Office	40Elevated	Matures 2027· sourcedRecorded LTV 85%· modeled	2027recorded	—	85%modeled	$1.10B1 tranche cited
ONEMARKEOne Market PlazaSF Financial District · Office	40Elevated	Matures 2027· sourcedRecorded LTV 94%· modeled	2027recorded	1.44×modeled	94%modeled	$850M1 tranche cited
100PARKA100 Park AvenueNew York · Office	40Elevated	Matures 2027· sourcedRecorded LTV 101%· modeled	2027recorded	—	101%modeled	$430M1 tranche cited
CENTRE42Centre 425 (425 106th Avenue NE)Bellevue, USA · Office	40Elevated	Matures 2027· sourcedRecorded LTV 85%· modeled	2027recorded	—	85%modeled	$266M1 tranche cited
55BROADS55 Broad StreetNew York City · Residential	40Elevated	Matures 2027· sourcedRecorded LTV 128%· modeled	2027recorded	—	128%modeled	$220M1 tranche cited
555CALIF555 California StreetSF Financial District · Office	40Elevated	Matures 2028· sourcedRecorded LTV 114%· modeled	2028recorded	—	114%modeled	$1.20B1 tranche cited
28LIBERT28 Liberty Street (One Chase Manhattan Plaza)Downtown Manhattan · Office	40Elevated	Matures 2028· sourcedRecorded LTV 106%· modeled	2028recorded	—	106%modeled	$900M1 tranche cited
DUMBOHEIDumbo Heights (55 Prospect St, 81 Prospect St, 117 Adams St, 77 Sands St)Brooklyn, USA · Office	40Elevated	Matures 2028· sourcedRecorded LTV 100%· modeled	2028recorded	—	100%modeled	$480M1 tranche cited
17STATES17 State StreetNew York, USA · Office	40Elevated	Matures 2028· sourcedRecorded LTV 100%· modeled	2028recorded	—	100%modeled	$180M1 tranche cited
QUEENSCEQueens CenterElmhurst (Queens), New York · Retail	37Elevated	Matures 2029· sourcedModeled DSCR 1.19×· modeledRecorded LTV 75%· modeled	2029recorded	1.19×modeled	75%modeled	$525M1 tranche cited
FIVEMANHFive Manhattan WestNew York · Office	37Elevated	Matures 2030· sourcedModeled DSCR 1.07×· modeledRecorded LTV 78%· modeled	2030recorded	1.07×modeled	78%modeled	$1.25B1 tranche cited
DELAMOFADel Amo Fashion CenterTorrance, California · Retail	35Elevated	Matures 2027· sourcedOccupancy 75% (servicer)· sourced	2027recorded	—	59%modeled	$585M1 tranche cited
PHILADE2Philadelphia Marriott DowntownPhiladelphia · Hotel	35Elevated	Matures 2028· sourcedOccupancy 57% (servicer)· sourced	2028trust note	—	—	—CMBS note only
AVENTURAAventura MallAventura, Florida · Retail	32Elevated	Matures 2028· sourcedRecorded LTV 70%· modeled	2028recorded	1.64×modeled	70%modeled	$1.75B1 tranche cited
WILLISTOWillis TowerChicago Loop · Office	32Elevated	Matures 2028· sourcedRecorded LTV 72%· modeled	2028recorded	—	72%modeled	$1.32B1 tranche cited
1290AVEN1290 Avenue of the AmericasMidtown Manhattan · Office	32Elevated	Matures 2028· sourcedRecorded LTV 79%· modeled	2028recorded	—	79%modeled	$950M1 tranche cited
AONCENTEAon Center ChicagoChicago Loop · Office	30Elevated	Matures 2026· sourced	2026recorded	—	69%modeled	$536M1 tranche cited
HALLETTSHalletts PointAstoria (Queens), New York · Multifamily	30Elevated	Matures 2026· sourced	2026recorded	—	9%modeled	$128M1 tranche cited
30HUDSON30 Hudson YardsHudson Yards · Office	30Elevated	Matures 2029· sourcedRecorded LTV 113%· modeled	2029recorded	—	113%modeled	$2.61B3 tranches cited
CENTURYPCentury Plaza TowersCentury City · Office	30Elevated	Matures 2029· sourcedRecorded LTV 130%· modeled	2029trust note	—	130%modeled	$1.20B1 tranche cited
JACKSONPJackson ParkLong Island City · Multifamily	30Elevated	Matures 2029· sourcedRecorded LTV 100%· modeled	2029recorded	—	100%modeled	$1.00B1 tranche cited
425PARKA425 Park AvenueMidtown East · Office	30Elevated	Matures 2029· sourcedRecorded LTV 98%· modeled	2029recorded	—	98%modeled	$911M1 tranche cited

128 of 128 flagged assets shown · 56 further assets carry recorded debt with no current flags — click a row for the evidence behind each signal.

How this screen works

Signals fire on recorded maturities inside a five-year window, modeled DSCR below the 1.20× covenant floor, recorded-debt LTV at or above 70%, and — where an SEC ABS-EE filing matches — the servicer's own watchlist status, DSCR and occupancy. Sourced inputs (debt terms, CMBS servicer figures) carry citations; modeled inputs (NOI, tracked value — and the DSCR/LTV ratios derived from them) are labeled on every surface and never presented as verified. Recorded-debt LTV counts only publicly cited tranches (CMBS balances are trust-note slices), so its numerator is a floor on true debt; the ratio also inherits the tracked value's uncertainty — a screen, not a measured LTV, and readings above 100% usually mean a stale value or a construction-era balance, not negative equity as fact. A past stated maturity with no subsequent financing recorded may mean the loan was refinanced privately — treat it as a verification flag, not delinquency evidence.

Full methodology & source registry → Verification